This year's Super Bowl has all the makings to be the best one ever as this years' MVP Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs (16-3) take on this years' MVP runner up Jalen Hurts and the Eagles (16-3). Personally I'm all over Philadelphia in the Andy Reid Bowl. They have the upper hand in many different categories as these prop picks will show.
(The Sporting News)
Look, I know it's never fun to bet against the mighty Mahomes but this number is just way too high for my liking. The Eagles pass defense is only allowing 171 yards per game on average. Not only do the Eagles have 2 lockdown corners in James Bradberry and Darius Slay, they have 78 total sacks on the year, which is third most in NFL history. Expect Patty to be under pressure all night long. The casuals will likely want the over so this is a chance to fade the public.
The bet: Take the under closer to kickoff as this number will grow even higher
JuJu Smith-Schuster O/U 35.5 receiving yards
JuJu went under this number in the two playoff games he played and banged up his knee in the process. Like the Mahomes under I am banking on the Eagles pass rush and defense on the back end to contain him. Look for Kelce to be the main target as Mahomes will likely spread the ball around to more open targets.
The bet: Bet under as this number opened around 40, so sooner rather than later
Quez Watkins O/U 11.5 receiving yards, O/U 1.5 receptions
Here's a guy not everyone at the Super Bowl party will know. Quez is a good talent but not utilized much in the Eagles scheme. He gets 57% of snap counts this season so you won't even have to sweat when he's on the sidelines. The idea here is the Eagles ought to run the ball like they have all season and use Watkins more as a decoy or for jet sweeps. In the NFC championship he was targeted only one time.
The bet: Under and lay the juice (-180) on the receptions
Jalen Hurts O/U 50.5 rushing yards
If Hurts didn't get hurt against the Bears, a game in which he ran the ball 17 times, I believe he would have won this years' MVP. It's obvious the Eagles are most dangerous when Hurts is taking off with the rock so why wouldn't he do the same in the biggest game of his life? Even in the blowout win in the NFC championship he was running it in the second half. He averaged 52 rushing yards per game this season, so I do not see why this number isn't higher. He's been known to sneak it in the end zone, so I don't mind an anytime TD score either.
The bet: Hammer the over
I know my picks haven't been the best lately but how about let's end the NFL season on a high note and lay (-1.5) with the best team to ever tough the field in the Philly Eagles. Fly Eagles Fly!
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